2009 Andhra Pradesh Election Predictions

2009 Poll Predictions: (These are my personal opinions. I humbly apologize incase I hurt anyone’s particular affiliation to any political party)

Scenario 1: Congress (140 – 160 seats)
Congress will form government and run for 5 years. Y.S.RajaSekhar Reddy will be able to run the government for 5 years with more people centric schemes and irrigation projects. There will be more corruption charges. No one in Congess will ever dare to speak against YSR.

Scenario 2: Mahakootami (130-150)
TDP will form government. Form day 1 there will be huge confusion who is running government. First 2 years will focus on power sharing of coalition parties. People will have lots and lots of entertainment in newspapers on how worst politics and politicians can go to get power.
Since it’s a “dina dina gandam” government, there will hardly be any schemes beneficial to government.

Scenerio 3:
Lok Satta (10-15)
PRP: (40-60)
BJP: (4-8)
MIM: 4
TDP will forego Mahakootami. PRP will support government from “outside”. Power sharing only between PRP and TDP. Chief Minister sharing deal for half the terms.
Congress will try its best to collapse the deal and form its own government with support from MIM and TRS. People will have “masala” news all year long and TV channels will prosper.

Scenario 4:
No single party will win majority. Even if Congress gets less than 110 seats it will become increasingly difficult for Congress to establish government as they need to “manage” 35-40 MLA’s. Only MIM will support Congress with its MLA’s not more than 4. Unless TRS comes out of Mahakootami saying Congress promised to pass the bill for Telangana, Congress will not be able to form government. There is a good probability PRP will support only TDP.

End: In the event of mid term elections, people will look for alternative in “dirty” politics and unanimously vote Lok Satta to power.

Regards,
Suresh Matta